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Archive for July, 2009

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The Case for Nick Markakis

Top Fantasy Baseball Right Fielders - Nick Markakis

What vehicle typifies Nick Markakis? Since Nick is a powerful throwback player, we see him in a muscle car vehicle similar to the original Fast & Furious car, which we believe was a 1970 Dodge Charger. He even resembles Vin Diesel a bit when he shaves his head!

Yes, Nick Markakis is having himself another solid season; however, we aren’t seeing a continued rise in his development. Is he going to be a career .300 hitter with 20 HR power and nice RBI contribution? While this isn’t something that fantasy owners would turn their nose up at, could he ever develop into a 30/30 type hitter that some deemed him prior to the 2008 season? Perhaps, but thus far, he hasn’t taken the strides to appear that he will be able to do so.

Top Fantasy Baseball Right Fielders - Nick Markakis 2The 26-year old lefty’s numbers are nothing to sniff at, currently hitting over .290 with eight long balls and 45 RBI’s. His speed hasn’t been used effectively after topping out at 18 swipes in ’07; Nick dropped to 10 last year and has only two thus far after 70 games.

Markakis is still somewhat the focal point of the O’s offensive attack; however, with the surge of Adam Jones’ development along with the continued steady performance of Brian Roberts and the often under-valued Aubrey Huff, the pressure has been lightened to become the next great O-Bird. I don’t necessarily feel as if this is the ceiling for Nick the Greek (er…the half-Greek that is) and I truly expect him to have a second half surge that will raise the expectations and energize the confidence in his progress.

A glaring stat to be critical of on Markakis, would have to be his inability to start a rally. His BA without runners on is a paltry .268 and gets even worse when there is an out dipping to a measly .152. Should he be depended on as a catalyst in Maryland , especially after signing a big 6-year $66 million deal, it’s something that he is going to be depended on as a majority of AB’s over the course of a season come in such situations.

The Case for Andre Ethier

Top Fantasy Baseball Right Fielders - Andre Ethier

What car would make chef “Andre Ethier’s” mouth water? Playing out in LA, it’s gotta be a convertible! Andre is sort of a low key guy though – leaving the bling and media attention to Manny and Kemp – so we put Ethier in a silver James Bond 007 inspired Aston Martin V8 Vantage Roadster.

It has been a bit of a strange season for Andre Ethier. One that started out with great expectations and excitement about him taking the next step in his career, to that of disappointment from a bit of a slow start, followed by a heated month, to another slump, to…you get the picture.

With Manny Ramirez’ soon return to the fold after his 50 game suspension for steroid use, Ethier may be on tap for a 2nd half swell in his stats that will please fantasy owners and compliment their patience with his up and down trends.

The product of Arizona State University is on track to surpass his career highs in terms of power and stolen bases; however, across the board Ethier has slipped in the remainder of his peripherals. Runs scored, doubles and batting average have taken a noticeable decline which isn’t due to anything particular and can be excused as bits of bad luck and timing issues. Unfortunately at 27, it was previously assumed that this could be a break-out type season and with a crowded Dodgers outfield, Joe Torre may have to do some juggling to keep everyone in Dodger blue happy.

A slam on Ethier would have to be his inability to cash in when the table is set for him. Hitting only .233 with RISP and bringing home 33 RBI’s in 90 AB’s isn’t anything that puts a tag of elite amongst the top OF ranks, and things get even worse with two outs, dropping down near the Mendoza line to .205.

FANTALYTICS FINAL CALL

Ultimately, I keep wondering and thinking of legitimate reasons as to why I continue to do this to myself; however, a decision must be made. With so much on the line and only a tad more than half of the season remaining, who out of this group will continue to mash and become a post All-Star juggernaut at the dish? Who if any will have the fantasy air slowly leak out of their unlimited ceiling air balloon?

In a group of this level, if you are lucky enough to have one of these thoroughbreds honing the outfield behind first and second base, you are a happy camper, so let’s get that out of the way.

But seriously, a lot has to be taken into account and if all things are considered, I’m going to comfortably go with Nick Markakis as my respected winner, in a close near photo-finish with SUPER SPECTACULAR SUMMER RF EXTRAVAGANZA silver medalist Justin Upton. I truly feel as if the torrent pace that Upton has set in the first half won’t be able to keep up, all the while believing in Nick Markakis and his knack for upping the tempo and padding his stats after the All-Star break.

Find a Nick Markakis Bobblehead on eBay

Nick Markakis Bobblehead on eBayMarkakis’ numbers post midsummer classic (with the exception of last year when he was dealing with injuries) are tremendously better than in the cooler months prior and an increase of drastic percentage isn’t pushing the limits. There isn’t a guarantee that he will be able to dominate statistically in comparison to the others in their final lines comes seasons end; but, we are looking at the remainder of the season here and I see some cushy second half numbers when thoughts come popping into my crazy FANTALYTICAL mind.

Upton may be the winner when it comes to the final numbers come October, Cruz may belt the most round-trippers, Pence may have the greatest peripheral line contributing in everything from triples to OBP, Ethier may surge with Man-Ram back and not lose any PT in a jammed Dodger line-up; however, it is the left-handed #21 that I see taking the cake when it comes to performance from this point on.

Happy Canada Day!

HAPPY CANADA DAY!!!

FANTALYTICS – VOLUME 9

As a special treat we bring you…

“Adam Forsyth’s Super Spectacular Summer Right Fielder Extravaganza”

Nelson Cruz VS Hunter Pence VS Justin Upton VS Nick Markakis VS Andre Ethier

Move over Car & Driver! Take a hike Road & Track!

Here comes WaiverSharks biggest comparison test - EVER! Rather than run a picture of these right field phenoms, since we’re pretty certain you know what they look like, we decided it’d be fun to post the vehicle we think suits each player’s style.

We break down the Texas Rangers - Nelson Cruz, Houston Astros - Hunter Pence and the D-backs - Justin Upton today.

We’ll follow up with the spine tingling conclusion to peg the finest fantasy baseball right fielder with the Baltimore Orioles - Nick Markakis and the Los Angeles Dodgers Andre Ethier - as well as our “Fantalytics Final Call” in our Thursday, July 2nd post!

With so much young talent in this position, we figured that we’d take the opportunity to switch up our regular 1-on-1 format and get down to the brass tacks to inform our faithful readers of who is going to be the best option moving forward when it comes to this highly contested position.

With 12-team leagues entering their second go around in their schedules, winners from the first rotation of the schedule will be looking to sharpen their match-ups in attempts to go undefeated, while losers in first go’ round will seek redemption. Take notes on who will continue to roll, and who will be slowly dragged back down to earth as we embark our first ever 5-player FANTALYTICS!

The Case for Nelson Cruz

Top Fantasy Baseball Right Fielders - Nelson Cruz

What should Nelson Cruz - cruise in? A 2010 G8 Sport Truck or modern day El Camino! Sure, the project was scraped by General Motors, but with the dough Nelson will be making the next few years, he could afford to build his own!

Power to burn in a notoriously favorable home park gives this chic pick from previous seasons a gold star as Nelson Cruz has exceeded any expectations after a couple of iffy opportunities of failure. At 28 (will turn 29 on July 1st) it appears that Cruz has allowed disgruntled owners to easily forget the challenges endured in yesteryear by going deep 18 times while clubbing home 45 big RBI’s through his first 250 AB’s. Throw in his 11 swipes and this kid is really showing his worth in his first full-time, full season gig.

Cruz has touched close to a .300 BA on several occasions this season; however, sitting at the mid .260 range is probably an indication of where he will comfortably settle. Striking out nearly 25% of the time will hurt this average, and should he find the plate discipline that currently eludes him, he’ll be a more reliable .275 to .285 hitter.

The injury to Josh Hamilton and struggles of Chris Davis don’t help Cruz out as far as line-up protection goes; however, he is currently being relied upon to be a main contributor to a confusing Rangers attack and has to be considered a staple in the middle of the order for the near future.

Take note though; in being the “senior” of this group and currently in his “prime years” of professional baseball, Cruz is probably displaying what we should expect for the next five years right now. We must consider this when comparing him with the four others within this group.

The Case for Hunter Pence

Top Fantasy Baseball Right Fielders - Hunter Pence

What should Hunter Pence drive? Well, Pence is from Texas , so a Cadillac, but he’s tall so a shiny pearl white Escalade suits him…and since he’s a pretty efficient player – let’s make it a Hybrid baby!

After a somewhat forgettable “two steps back” season of 2008, this Texan has solidified himself as a solid five-tool fantasy contributor returning to the promise displayed in his rookie season. Hitting comfortably over the .320 mark, while powering double digit HR’s and close to double digit steals, Pence is being used effectively in the line-up by not being placed in a pressure filled position and commonly following the likes of a Carlos Lee, Miguel Tejada or the Big Puma to provide him with some quality pitches each time he digs in.

Pence isn’t getting the tremendous RBI opportunities that someone in the 3-4-5 spots do; however, he maintains a near .300 BA (currently .298) with runners on base and an above average .333 BA with RISP with two outs. This shows that Pence is getting more comfortable when submersed in high-pressure situations.

If we had to come up with a knock about Pence, it would have to be with his struggles for consistency. While it hasn’t been as magnified this season; last season, Pence had months of .260, .346, .200, .294, .223 and .302 and while his extra base power remained steady, his ability to get on base, steal and score runs was directly affected. Pence has worked hard to rid himself of any stigma of being an inconsistent hitter which has pleased fantasy owners that bought into this blue chip stud years ago.

The Case for Justin Upton

Top Fantasy Baseball Right Fielders - Justin Upton

Justin Upton – Would Updog pimp his ride? Probably – But for sure, it’s gotta be bulked up & powerful! And since Baby Upton plays for the Baby Snakes out in Arizona - what better powerful desert crawler is there than a Hummer? …& maybe even a couple of “ladies” to help push BJ’s younger brother out of a sand dune!

After a somewhat disappointing 2008, many fantasy owners weren’t sure of what to expect from the MLB’s younger Upton brother and with the oft-anemic D’Backs offense constantly being a concern, you wouldn’t think that having a 21-year old leading the charge would be possible. However, Justin Upton is certainly laying the foundation for what will hopefully be an impressive fantasy career.

Find a Justin Upton Bobblehead on eBay

Justin Upton Bobblehead on eBayRanking 1, 2 or 3 in every statistical team category at his age is more than impressive and through 71 team games having an OPS above 1.000 is nothing short of phenomenal. He has cut down on his whiffs by nearly an entire AB (2.94AB/K in ’08 compared to 3.87AB/K this season) all the while appearing more patient each time he digs in. Positioned 3rd in the line-up, Upton has been given every opportunity to thrive and is showing that he isn’t willing to move from such an honor.

Upton is one homer away from tying last years’ mark of 15 (in over 100 less AB’s), is challenging to score 100 runs and could inevitably reach the 30/30 plateau. Not bad for being on a team that ranks 3rd from the bottom in terms of BA that typically depends on its’ pitching staff to win games.

Solid concern of the 2005 1st overall pick and his whiff-ability has a tendency to expose some other weaknesses (.267 BA with RISP), as striking out in big moments and his inefficiency in battling back when behind in a count are regularly spotlighted. You can discount a majority of that to his youth and lack of exposure; however, this will definitely be a key focus for his future development.

Tune in Thursday July 2nd to read the other two Right Field playas - and who we think is the #1 fantasy baseball right fielder for 2009!